Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.019027 0.024200 0.031177 0.041649 0.057700 0.082799 0.128507
2024-12-22 0.013368 0.018785 0.027301 0.042865 0.074015 0.144557 0.374420
2024-12-29 0.010545 0.015717 0.024653 0.043288 0.088902 0.232973 1.203264
2025-01-05 0.008512 0.013149 0.021647 0.040981 0.095677 0.323875 4.139698
2025-01-12 0.007242 0.011521 0.019755 0.039967 0.105402 0.473627 39.075854
2025-01-19 0.006616 0.010882 0.019571 0.042949 0.133222 0.947412 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006246 0.010628 0.020099 0.048263 0.182683 2.783502 NaN
2025-02-02 0.005920 0.010382 0.020558 0.053858 0.252940 14.526262 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005415 0.009665 0.019666 0.054361 0.295575 95.178350 NaN
2025-02-16 0.004998 0.009063 0.018910 0.055007 0.347625 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.004624 0.008496 0.018108 0.055061 0.400589 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004193 0.007743 0.016639 0.051485 0.397019 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003848 0.007195 0.015783 0.051049 0.460176 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003593 0.006826 0.015372 0.052720 0.595972 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003347 0.006438 0.014807 0.053288 0.740636 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003060 0.005913 0.013704 0.050221 0.758658 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002842 0.005530 0.012970 0.048878 0.845188 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002743 0.005425 0.013089 0.052835 1.326456 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002692 0.005431 0.013577 0.059965 2.760720 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002636 0.005418 0.014003 0.067573 6.993964 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002505 0.005189 0.013605 0.068262 11.298080 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002388 0.004985 0.013253 0.069149 20.527068 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002275 0.004777 0.012844 0.069223 38.111301 NaN NaN